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Thursday, June 23, 2011

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  • andy garcia
    01-26 09:40 AM
    I had trouble sifting through all that data and figuring out what that was all about.
    Could you give the specific report that you used for these numbers. And, if possible, any hints on how you arrived at the data below. I would appreciate that.

    Thanks....

    FISCAL ------ Employment ------- EB3
    YEAR ----- Total ---- INDIA | Total --- India
    2000 ----- 111,024 | 15888 | 51,711 | -5567 :IV FY 2000 (http://travel.state.gov/pdf/FY2000%20table%20V.pdf)
    2001 ----- 186,536 | 41720 | 90,274 | 16405 :IV FY 2001 (http://travel.state.gov/pdf/FY2001%20table%20V.pdf)
    2002 ----- 171,583 | 41919 | 87,574 | 17428 :IV FY 2002 (http://travel.state.gov/pdf/FY2002%20table%20V.pdf)
    2003 ----- -83,020 | 20818 | 47,354 | 10680 :IV FY 2003 (http://travel.state.gov/pdf/FY2003%20table%20V.pdf)
    2004 ----- 157,107 | 39496 | 88,114 | 19962 :IV FY 2004 (http://travel.state.gov/pdf/FY04tableV.pdf)
    2005 ----- 242,335 | 47160 |122,130 | 23399 :IV FY 2005 (http://travel.state.gov/pdf/FY05tableV.pdf)
    6 yr total - 951,605| 207001| 487,157| 93441
    Annual Avg --------- 34500 | -------- 15574

    If this trend would have continued. There should not be any MAJOR retrogression problem, but if you remember from the Nov 05 VB. The warning was very clear:

    During FY due to anticipated heavy demand, the AC21 provisions are not expected to apply, and the amount of Employment numbers available to any single country will be subject to the 7% cap. It is anticipated that the addition of unused FY-2005 Family numbers and the remaining AC21 numbers to the 140,000 annual minimum will result in an FY-2006 annual Employment limit of 152,000. This will mean an Employment per-country limit for FY-2006 of approximately 10,650.
    To illustrate the effect of the reduced per-county limitation during FY-2006 on the oversubscribed countries, it should be noted that during FY-2005 India used approximately 47,175 Employment numbers.


    If you plug this number into your analysis the result might be a couple of years of advance for your predictions.

    andy





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  • newuser
    07-16 05:53 PM
    My blood pressure is going up after seeing these false propoganda.

    We need to do something about these bxxxxrds.

    This type of false propoganda makes my blood boil :mad:





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  • singhsa3
    03-03 06:19 PM
    Hold on..
    Not everyone visit this site. So any extrapolation won't make any sense. The idea is not to take polls but is that someone take up our issue, investigate and spread our message.


    The message is simple, you got the people with right stuff, standing in the line. Their wait is neither good for them nor good for anyone else.


    thats even worse. you are taking a poll of 500 people (*IF* you get that many respondents to this poll, my feeling is you wont cross 250) and expanding that to 1 million people in line for EB greencard.

    This is not extrapolation, its a joke.

    For the sake of the immigrant community, please dont drag CNN to Immigrationvoice.org to look at a poll that 200 people took of which 50 claim they would buy a house if they got a GC tomorrow. We all lose credibility if we make such statements.





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  • newuser
    05-06 03:28 PM
    I got a reply from USCIS saying that they can process the request sorted by priority date and country of birth of the applicant. Processing time will be around 15 months and that they have got their answer on priority date.

    what are the next steps?

    15 MONTHS.....:mad:



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  • rbalaji5
    09-19 10:17 AM
    Silicon Valley - The best place for these kind of effort..:)





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  • MDix
    03-10 02:22 PM
    If you feel good by giving red then pls do it, but that doesn't change what's coming in your way.

    This is turning out to be TRUE.

    Past week, I made this comment and some people made fun of it. But, it's turning out to be true. They are now fully focusing on EB3 and I think they will continue to do untill they finish all Eb3. Once they reached last quarter then they will make EB2-I/C current and distribute those spill-over visas across EB. They don't have to make EB3-ROW current to give some spill-over to EB3-I. What ever will be left at the end of quarter will be spilled across EB's.


    I am expecting lot of REDs on this one.

    Thanks,
    MDix



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  • go_gc_way
    01-02 11:33 PM
    Could you guys please give me the matter to post so that I dont have to type in the whole story again...thanks

    sbabunle, It's at the start of this thread. Please grab it.





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  • luvschocolates
    08-22 01:07 AM
    The majority of you people are cruel and harsh individuals, how dare you insult a man that is sick just because of his weight. The majority of you are also from middle eastern countries - not exactly buddies with the USA. Canadians didn't come here to blow up buildings, people from your part of the world did. Canadians were here to help, and were one of the first countries on the scene.
    Canadians are allies, not enemies. You folks need to be the ones to go back where you came from!



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  • ak27
    02-07 10:00 AM
    I can accomodate one more at the most. Three people are enough. More than that is a crowd. Hemal and the one other person who can make it, please go through the slide put up under Resources-> Meet the lawmakers drive. We have to prepare before we meet the Congressmen.

    Things to do before we meet the Congressmen:

    1> Research on Congressmen on his community efforts.
    2> Read the slides.
    3> Have a meeting between us to discuss what and how we are going to present the material to him.

    Hemal, please distribute the flyers to as many people as possible and in whatever locations you can. I will send you an updated copy soon.

    Thanks,
    Varsha
    Varsha,

    Who is thrid person...





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  • ksvreg
    06-10 01:45 PM
    best bet is eb3 to eb2 conversion in addition to advocacy efforts?



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  • bigboy007
    06-30 05:57 AM
    Sorry didnt follow up this thread , i dont know why USCIS is asking for colored copies , Passport i dont know but i have seen in clearly through state of ILLINOIS website some where about ITS ILLEGAL TO TAKE ID COLOR COPIES i noticed this when i am taking photo copy color and fedex kinko's person and tore away the color copy and said we both will be at risk as its strictly illegal. I dont know about other states and hence said so , let the RFE come i will then send it for DL; i am sending the one for passport in color though. i enquired with my lawyer he said thats fine just to update you .They might be asking it for clarity in picture i achieved the same using color copier but B/W with light tone effect. It came really good. I hope that useful.





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  • shreekhand
    07-04 10:28 PM
    A nicely presented opinion by Ramba, but there are obvious flaws in the anaylsis. Here are my observations

    1.) The contention that they followed the recommendations of the Omb report and went back to pre-1982 method cannot be true. They cannot follow that without violating 8 USC Section 1255 (b) which clearly states that a visa number is reduced AFTER the approval of the I-485.

    2.)There were 40K visas remaining at the time of the Jun 13 bulletin according to AILA. The 60K number as per DoS might have been from end of May. We most note the fact from the CIS I-485 Standard Operating Procedure that when a petition is "documentarily qualified and approvable" a request is made for a visa number, if such number is not available that petition is put into a approved pending availability of visa number list. This makes it amply clear that the CIS knew the exact number of approvable petitions.(might be ~40-60K) The DoS might also have known that.

    3.) So what happened ? Looks like the DoS did not expect the CIS to get those petitions quickly from storage, assign a visa number, stamp and sign petitions with the speed that CIS did it with. As a matter of fact, we can clearly deduce from inquiries made my petitioners in the month of May that soon after the June bulletin was released in May, the petitioners were informed by IO's that their files are now been retrieved and have been assigned to officers for approval in June !

    4.) This shows that the CIS swift approval (i.e retrieval, assigning visa #, stamp, signature) activity especially the retrieval part did not start on June 1, or June 13 but well before in mid May if not earlier.

    5.) Now maybe they assigned the visa #'s to the approvable petitions (in line with the law) already but they are still going on with the stamp, signature part (as evidenced by people receiving approvals e-mails even on July 2nd and 3rd.. and other forums)

    6.) Suspension of PPS at NSC and TSC -- Now why should that happen ?
    If they have already used up the EB quota one would ask that much amount of man hours are now free isn't it !!?
    But the above points might show us that they might need it to simply finish off the paperwork of the approvable petitions in the month of July. Remember signing off on 40K+ petitions is not a 1 month job, but just assigning visa numbers might be. It is very certain to me that we will see approvals well within July!

    Loose ends:

    1.) What baffles though is the allocation of all visa numbers before the last quarter of FY 07 ! Maybe there is loophole there that allowed them to do so.

    2.) How did visa number for EB1 for a top scientist from say an undersubscribed country such as Ukraine also get used up ??!



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  • GCcomesoon
    04-24 09:13 PM
    Hi

    After long haul of almost 5 years , today I got the approval email for my 485 filed in June - 2007.I guess my wife's case should be approved soon.Last when spoke to TCS IO , I was told that biometrics is needed in my case but still they can approve & later send me the notice. I guess only after that I might get the physical card.

    Had anyone experienced this scenario ?
    Anyways I want to thank everyone on this forum,immigration portals, folks & every other support that I have got in this long process.

    I will always be there for everyone on this forum or in any other way I can help to every legal immigrant who is waiting for the Green Card.

    Thanks a lot

    Priority date - 05/2003
    140 approved - 10/2006 from TSC
    485,131,765 RD-6/04/2007 at TSC, notices received - 06/07/2007
    CA, EB2
    Wife's case returned due to some error,send it again & received on 06/17/2007 as per Fedex
    Wife's case RD- 7/10/2007
    I131,I765 approved for both -Nov 2007
    I485 approval mail - 04/24/08 - Myself
    Waiting for spouse approval, physical Cards





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  • logiclife
    02-13 01:31 AM
    First off, you are looking for a bodyshop. A consulting shop. You would be the consultant if you are hired they would be the consulting firm.

    There is a website called http://www.desicrunch.com/ (Desi Crunch) that as reviews of most of Indian Consulting shops. Reviews are posted by individuals themselves so they would be reliable.

    Other than that you can look on Immigrationportal.com and search the name of the firm you are planning to join to check if there are any bad reviews.

    You have to be prepared to handle your job as a consultant and your job in handling your employer. There would be struggle every step of the way. Basics like giving paperwork tied to Immigration like H1, 140, labor is a big task. Mostly they dont want to share even xerox copies so that it becomes almost impossible for you to either switch jobs or retain priority dates. Expect to work at a much lower rate than what you would get as a permenant employee directly working for an American company. Expect to move across the country every few months from project to project, unless you are really really in demand and can get projects in city for longer times. Do not expect moving expenses. You are on your own. Whenever you quit, expect to miss your last 1 or 2 paychecks. They will come up with some excuse not to pay you. If you quit and if there is any bad blood between you and your employer, do not expect any letter of experience that you can use for future EB2 or EB3 Greencard petitions. They wont give you that. If they hire the Immigration lawyer, you will most likely never talk to the lawyer directly. It will be thru your employer only. And information will be presented to you in a way that makes you feel in bad shape and more dependent on the employer. "Your labor is in trouble". "there is an inquiry on your H1, 140". "Lawyer needs another 5,000 to respond to your inquiry or RFE which we would be more than happy to deduct from your paycheck".

    If you want to go thru all this, then yes, desi consulting firms would work for you.



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  • alisa
    01-27 08:16 PM
    My simplistic model breaks down with this data.
    With these numbers, the ROW backlog for 2002 should have cleared by now, but it hasn't. The Indian backlog should clear in a few years.

    I guess, there is a reason why people don't model these things. The results are no better than pulling things outta thin air if there isn't sufficient data.......

    Maybe USCIS needs computers more than we need visa numbers......

    If there are any estimates on the number of applicants in the different years, we could try some math on it.....I had assumed 160K applicants for ROW in 2002, and from the numbers that andy provided, that backlog should have cleared in 2004.

    Unless we are missing something really really big, things should start moving forward in a year or two. (Especially after USCIS learns about the amazing new invention called a 'computer')

    As my lawyer says, in two to ten years, the PDs will be current.....

    alisa

    i hope that country caps are removed
    i also hope it's not at your expense :-)
    i don't see why people think these things are mutually exclusive
    we all want the best to happen- for ourselves- and as much as we can help it
    for everyone else too!!
    great work on putting the data together, hopefully we can develop some concise sound bites to present to affected people and to lawmakers.
    i do suggest that the final summary should show 3 examples

    China EB2 and EB3
    India EB2 and EB3
    ROW EB3

    this way everyone affected sees something about themselves





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  • optimist578
    01-31 03:16 PM
    My brother had horror stories when he was working in CA. His close friend cousin owns a company and he blindely trusted him. They forced my brother to sign a contract in the amount of $10000 if he leaves the company. He spent there for 6 months and found it horrible. He finally decided to leave the company and lost 1.5 month pay. Now he has the following issues.

    1. He did not get his W2. And the company is not responding to his queries for his W2
    2. He had to pay the tax on the amount which he did not received any money for 1.5 months

    I hate desi companies as they take advantage of people and threaten them. Please share your ideas how can he proceed on his situation.

    Thanks.

    IRS requires every employer to furnish W-2. Take a look at this:
    http://www.irs.gov/newsroom/article/0,,id=106470,00.html



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  • waitnwatch
    04-07 07:25 PM
    .... One cannot argue (or complaint with the supervisor) with them in the long line at POE to ask them to follow the rules and regulations; or you do not have your lawyer standing next to you in the line. You do not have much option at POE. ...

    A few years back the IO's at Portland Oregon started harassing visitors. A Chinese businesswoman was sent back for no apparent reason. This lady came back through LA and sued the USCIS. The upshot of what happened at Oregon was that all international flights stopped coming to Oregon. So I wonder if the IO's ultimately got to keep their jobs!

    When you talk about "tremendous" power it is not as if the IO can just send someone home because the IO had a fight with his/her spouse. Sending someone back from the POE will have to be documented rigorously with specific reasons assigned. Therefore an IO can determine that a student or visitor is a potential immigrant but I'm sure that reasons have to be documented. With an H1-B that cannot be the case so the only check the IO can run is to ensure that the documents are genuine. Remember someone has to pay for a person to be sent back. An airlines get fined if they bring in someone without proper documents. So to cut the long story short - the IO has a lot of power in that they can go through a lot of details but sending someone back is a pretty serious thing as a diplomatic row can erupt. No IO would want to lose his job by meaninglessly and fraudulently sending someone back.





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  • imh1b
    11-12 04:26 PM
    If EB2 I becomes current , who benefits its EB3 I as the spillover will go EB3 India as India is the most retrogressed country. Our effort does not impact ROW EB2 as they are current any way. EB2 China will also benefit as spill over will help them. So supporting quarterly spillover is in EB3 India's. Make EB2 C and all over flow goes to EB3 I. Finally by opposing this it will not help EB3 I any way unless it makes you happy to see everybody suffer as long as you are suffering.

    WRONG.
    YOU are an EB2 India guy for sure and your PD is close.

    If spillover happens, all visas will get used up by EB2 India only. EB3 India gets nothing. There are way too many Indians in the system. Even if something is left from EB2 India, EB3 ROW will get breadcrums.

    EB3 India gets nothing. So stop giving wrong logic. I will oppose IV helping EB2 guys with close priority dates and not caring about everyone else.





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  • jamesbond007
    02-19 03:06 PM
    Instead of opposing it for fear of application deluge, why not ask for a clause that says applications should be adjudicated within a certain timeframe?

    And do not under estimate USCIS. They are capable of approving 45K GCs in a week. (July 2007??). They may not want to do it for various reasons - rake in perpetual fees on renewals, numerical limitations each month/quarter/year etc. I think they have the capability; but not the willingness.

    May be getting 10 millions latinos in the AOS queue is what is needed to improve the USCIS' processing. With them, the latinos also bring their strong lobbying efforts too.

    There has to be some movement towards bettering the immigration process in this country. If you will only accept a "perfect" fix, no reform will ever make it. Any change towards improving the immigration process should be encouraged.
    It is really sad to see opposition to this proposal just because it did not include every one.





    joeshmoe
    08-16 02:30 PM
    Gurus ...

    How do you know if your namecheck is done or not? Can you just call USCIS and ask???





    leoindiano
    02-19 09:33 AM
    This bill has no hope to pass as long as it has that free pass for ANYBODY > 5 years.
    Its amnesty when it comes to voting. Who will vote in this tough economy for amnesty....



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